Aims: To evaluate the diagnostic performance of CT, MRI and CEUS alone and in combination, for the diagnosis of HCC between 10 and 30 mm, in a large population of cirrhotic patients. Patients and methods: In a multicentre prospective trial, 442 patients have been enrolled. Within a month, CEUS, CT and MRI were performed for all patients. A composite algorithm was defined to obtain the more accurate gold standard. Results: A total of 544 nodules in 381 patients have been retained for the performance analysis. Eighty ‐ two percent of the patients were male, mean age was 62 years. For the 10 ‐ 20 mm nodules (n=342), the sensitivity (Se) and specificity (Sp) for the diagnosis of HCC were, respectively, 70.6% and 83.2% for MRI, 67.9% and 76.8% for CT and 39.6% and 92.9% for CEUS. For the 20 ‐ 30 mm nodules (n=202), the Se and Sp were, respectively, 72.3% and 89.4% for MRI, 71.6% and 93.6% for CT and 52.9% and 91.5% for CEUS. The best combination for the 10 ‐ 20 mm nodules was MRI + CT (Se: 55.1%, Sp: 100.0%). After a first inconclusive technique, CEUS as second image technique allowed the highest specificity with only a slight drop of sensitivity for 10 ‐ 20 mm nodules and the highest sensitivity and specificity for 20 ‐ 30 mm nodules. Conclusion: This large multicentre study validates the EASL/AASLD recommendations in daily practice. Specificity using CT or MRI in 10 ‐ 20 mm HCC was low, but we do not recommend combined imaging at first as sensitivity would be very low. The best sequential approach combined MRI and CEUS.
Contrast ‐ enhanced ultrasound; hepatocellular carcinoma; magnetic resonance imaging; multidetector computed tomography
Abbreviations
AASLD American Association for the Study of the Liver
AISF Italian Association for the Study of the Liver
APASL Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver
CEUS contrast ‐ enhanced ultrasound
CT computed tomography
EASL European Association for the Study of the Liver
EORTC European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer
HCC hepatocellular carcinoma
MRI magnetic resonance imaging
NICE British National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence
Key points
EASL ‐ AASLD recommendations are validated in clinical practice in a large prospective multicentric study
MRI is the best examination to diagnose HCC using EASL ‐ AASLD criteria but its specificity is not excellent for 10 ‐ 20 mm nodules
Diagnostic performances of EASL ‐ AASLD criteria are similar in patients with history of previously treated HCC than in the whole population
CEUS could have a role in a two ‐ step algorithm for diagnosing non ‐ invasively HCC
.
In a cirrhotic liver, a probabilistic diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is possible, based on imaging in accordance with international recommendations.[
In the same way, the choice of different imaging techniques to detect typical HCC features, and therefore non ‐ invasive HCC diagnosis is still debated.
The updated European (EASL) and American Association for the Study of the Liver (AASLD) recommendations have endorsed the sequential application of computed tomography (CT) scans and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) to diagnose HCC. A single imaging technique is now considered adequate for the diagnosis of HCC larger than 1 cm in size.[
Indeed, these recommendations are based more on expert opinions than controlled studies. Only a few single ‐ centre studies[
Therefore, the present multicentre prospective trial aims to evaluate the diagnostic performance of CT, MRI and CEUS alone and in combination, for the diagnosis of HCC between 10 and 30 mm, in a large population of patients with cirrhosis.
This study was approved by the Ethics committee CPP Ouest II and registered as # NCT00848952. Informed consent was obtained from all the patients. This study was supported by a national institutional grant (PHRC 2008 ‐ 01).
From April 2010 to April 2013, 442 patients were prospectively enrolled in 16 expert centres. The inclusion criteria were:
Detection of de novo liver nodules in patients with compensated cirrhosis under surveillance; Nodule size between 10 to 30 mm in the examination technique used, leading to inclusion (US, CT or MRI); more than one nodule could be present but none of them should exceed 30 mm; the patient could be naïve of HCC or have already been treated for an HCC by surgery or thermal ablation. In these cases, the new nodule should be more than 2 cm from the resection or ablation area. Previous treatment by transarterial chemoembolization during the last 5 years was an exclusion criterion.
To evaluate the proportion of patients included through a first CT or MRI and the proportion of patients with HCC in this sub ‐ population, a retrospective analysis has been conducted in the three main centres.
A total of 684 nodules were identified in 442 patients. A total of 140 nodules were excluded for several reasons: (i) 64 nodules with obvious characteristic images of pseudolesions or benign non ‐ hepatocellular lesions (arteriovenous shunt, haemangioma, focal fatty sparing in fatty liver) found after the first examination performed for this study; (ii) 69 nodules because they were smaller than 10 mm or larger than 30 mm (n=2); (iii) in 7 nodules, a definitive diagnosis could not be reached (nodule, which turned out to be an HCC at 9 or 12 months follow ‐ up but without data for 3 and 6 months follow ‐ up). The diagnostic performance of CT, MRI and CEUS was therefore calculated on 544 nodules in 381 patients. A flow chart of this study is shown in Figure [NaN] .
After finding the nodule(s), the three imaging techniques (CEUS, MDCT, MRI) had to be performed within a month. There was no specific order for performing the three examinations.
Description and technical parameters of each technique are reported in Appendix [NaN] .
For each modality (US, CT or MRI), the image analysis performed by the radiologist was done unblinded to the screening technique (the size and the location of the nodule were reported on request) but was blinded to the other examinations performed in the study.
After contrast medium injection, enhancement in the different vascular phases was notified. Enhancement patterns are reported in the Appendix [NaN] .
Biopsy of all the target nodules was not mandatory for HCC diagnosis during the study. In particular, a liver biopsy was performed according the EASL ‐ AASLD guidelines when typical hallmarks of HCC were not met on CT or MRI.
Technical details of the biopsy and histological analysis are reported in the Appendix [NaN] .
Gold standard was the main limitation of all the previous studies published regarding the performance of imaging for the diagnosis of HCC.[
Hepatocellular carcinoma diagnosis was obtained firstly by histology if the nodule was treated by surgery (resection or transplantation), or if a biopsy was performed within 6 months of the date of the last imaging examination performed.
If the diagnosis of HCC was not provided by histology the policy was decided according to the imaging pattern. At least two positive examinations were needed to diagnose a nodule as a HCC.[
If the diagnosis of HCC remained negative at this stage, the nodule was monitored at 3, 6 and 12 months. If any of the following changes were seen within 6 months, the diagnosis of HCC was made: (i) increase in size more than 30% in maximal diameter (mean growing size=74%) or appearance of hyperarterial enhancement or washout. The remaining nodules were considered to be non ‐ HCC nodules. To ensure a high specificity for the diagnosis of HCC, we did not take into account, the nodules (n=6) that displayed changes suggestive of HCC at 12 months. Figure [NaN] and Table [NaN] shows the number of HCC diagnosed at each stage and according to each imaging pattern.
Detailed version of the Statistical analysis section is reported in the Appendix [NaN] .
To evaluate the performance of the three imaging techniques for the diagnosis of HCC, the diagnosis was considered positive if the nodule displayed the typical features of HCC. If the nodule was not seen in an examination, the technique was considered as negative for the diagnosis of HCC. We obtained exact 95% CIs for sensitivity and specificity from the binomial distribution. Cochran's Q ‐ tests were performed to compare sensitivities and specificities among the three examinations and McNemar test was applied to test the performance between techniques pairwise.
Diagnostic performance of a combination of two of the three imaging techniques (CEUS+CT; CEUS+MRI; CT+MRI) was evaluated. In these situations, to be positive, the diagnosis of HCC needed both techniques to display a typical feature of HCC. For this calculation, patients who had two imaging tests as reference standard for the diagnosis of HCC were excluded.
Diagnostic performance of a sequential combination of two of the three imaging techniques (CEUS+CT; CEUS+MRI; CT+MRI) was evaluated following two ways. Firstly, the diagnosis of HCC was made with typical imaging features of HCC on at least one imaging modality. Secondly, the performance of the second imaging technique was calculated on the population that was negative (no typical imaging features of HCC) at the first examination.
Characteristics of the population
Sex Male (%) 314 (82.41) Female (%) 67 (17.59) Age (mean±SD) 62.01±9.69 BMI (mean±SD) 26.75±4.61 Presence of cirrhosis (%) 372 (97.64) Aetiology of liver disease Hepatitis C (%) 120 (31.50) Hepatitis B (%) 33 (8.66) Alcohol (%) 221 (58.01) Metabolic (%) 73 (19.16) Other (%) 41 (10.76) History of HCC (%) 39 (10.24) Patients with high AFP serum (%) 114 (35.5) Patients with AFP serum ≥200 ng/mL (%) 22 (6.69) Number of nodules/patient Patients with one nodule (%) 255 (66.9) Patients with two nodules (%) 89 (23.4) Patients with three nodules (%) 37 (9.7) Size of the nodules, mm (mean±SD) 18.16±5.73 Size of the nodules 10 ‐ 20 mm group (mean±SD) 14.50±2.65 Size of the nodules 20 ‐ 30 mm group (mean±SD) 24.37±3.92
1 A patient could have multiple aetiologies.
2 60 missing data. High AFP serum means above the upper normal limit.
Three hundred and eighty ‐ one out of 442 (86%) patients with 544 nodules were finally included. There were 314 (82%) males and 67 (18%) females, with a mean age of 62±10 years. Among them, 39 (10%) with 57 nodules had a history of HCC already treated.
The causes of cirrhosis were mainly alcohol (58% of the cases), hepatitis C virus (32%) and metabolic syndrome (19%). The mean size of the nodules was 18.1±5.7 mm; 342 nodules were ≥10 and <20 mm, while 202 were ≥20 and ≤30 mm; 128 (33%) of the patients had more than one nodule.
The final diagnosis was HCC for 342 lesions (63%), and 295 (77.4%) patients had at least one HCC. One hundred and eighty ‐ seven out of 342 (55%) nodules between 10 and 20 mm and 155/202 (77%) nodules between 20 and 30 mm were HCCs, 67 patients (18%) had HCC and non ‐ HCC nodules.
Of the 544 nodules, 145 (27%), 107 (20%) and 131 (24%) were hypervascular in the arterial phase but did not exhibit washout on MRI, CT and CEUS respectively. Of those, 53 (37%), 44 (41%) and 96 (73%), respectively, were HCC.
Forty ‐ nine nodules were resected. Among them, 36 were HCC. Other nodules were: regenerative nodules (n=5), dysplastic nodules (n=4), cholangiocarcinoma (n=1), toxocara canis granuloma (n=1), post ‐ RF nodules (n=2).
Two hundred and forty ‐ one nodules were biopsied. Among them 159 were HCCs and 29 non ‐ HCCs. Non ‐ HCC nodules were: regenerative nodules (n=7), dysplastic nodules (n=12), cholangiocarcinoma (n=2), hemangioma (n=3), metastasis (n=1), focal nodular hyperplasia (n=1), tumoral necrosis (n=1) and no specified carcinoma (n=2). In 53 nodules, histology was considered inconclusive (cirrhotic liver or non ‐ tumoral).
The proportions of nodules found through CT or MRI in the three main centres were 21% [range 7% ‐ 33%] and 14% [range 8.5% ‐ 19%] respectively. Among these nodules, the percentage of HCCs were, respectively, 58% [range 40% ‐ 75%] and 52% [range 38.5% ‐ 75%].
The three imaging techniques were performed in a mean time of 17±20 days. Performances of each imaging technique according to nodule size are shown in Table [NaN] .
Performance of arterial enhancement followed by washout for each examination for the diagnosis of HCC
10 ‐ 20 mm n=342 20 ‐ 30 mm n=202MRI CT CEUS P value MRI vs CT P value MRI vs CEUS P value CT vs CEUS Se 70.6 [63.5; 77.0] 67.9 [60.7; 74.5] 39.6 [32.5; 47.0] .5831 <.0001 <.0001 Sp 83.2 [76.4; 88.7] 76.8 [69.3; 83.2] 92.9 [87.7; 96.4] .2529 .0167 .0003 PPV 83.5 [76.8; 89.0] 77.9 [70.8; 84.0] 87.1 [78.0; 93.4] NPV 70.1 [62.9; 76.6] 66.5 [59.1; 73.4] 56.0 [49.7; 62.2] LR+ 4.2 [2.9; 6.0] 2.9 [2.2; 4.0] 5.6 [3.1; 10.1] LR ‐ 0.4 [0.3; 0.4] 0.4 [0.3; 0.5] 0.7 [0.6; 0.7] Se 72.3 [64.5; 79.1] 71.6 [63.8; 78.6] 52.9 [44.7; 61.0] .8864 .0005 .0015 Sp 89.4 [76.9; 96.5] 93.6 [82.5; 98.7] 91.5 [79.6; 97.6] ND ND ND PPV 95.7 [90.3; 98.6] 97.4 [92.5; 99.5] 95.4 [88.5; 98.7] NPV 50.6 [39.5; 61.6] 50.0 [39.2; 60.9] 62.9 [53.5; 71.7] LR+ 6.8 [2.9; 15.6] 11.2 [3.7; 33.7] 6.2 [2.4; 16.1] LR ‐ 0.3 [0.2; 0.4] 0.3 [0.2; 0.4] 0.5 [0.4; 0.6]
3 ND, not done because Cochran's Q test was not significant.
For all nodules (10 ‐ 30 mm), MRI, CT and CEUS sensitivity for HCC diagnosis was 71.4% [66.2; 76.1], 69.6% [64.4; 74.4] and 45.6% [40.3; 51.1] respectively; and specificity was 84.7% [78.9; 89.3], 80.7% [74.6; 85.9] and 92.6% [88.1; 95.8] respectively.
Whatever the size of the nodules (10 ‐ 20 or 20 ‐ 30 mm), sensitivity was similar using CT and MRI. CEUS sensitivity was lower than that of CT or MRI, for 10 ‐ 20 mm nodules (P<.0001) and for 20 ‐ 30 mm nodules (P<.0015).
For the larger nodule group (20 ‐ 30 mm), specificity was high and almost equivalent for the different techniques (89.4% to 93.6%) but with smaller nodules, CEUS specificity was significantly higher than that of CT and MRI (92.9% vs 76.8% and 83.2%, respectively, P<.0016).
As some nodules have been detected firstly by CT or MRI and could not have been seen on ultrasound, we also calculated the sensitivity of CEUS taking in account only the nodules visible at ultrasonography. This lead to an increase in sensitivity of CEUS from 39.9% to 45.7% for the 10 ‐ 20 mm nodules and from 52.4% to 58.2% for the 20 ‐ 30 mm nodules (Table [NaN] ).
Because resection is the only perfect gold standard, we have studied the performance of the three imaging techniques in the sub ‐ population of nodules that have been resected. We have found a sensitivity close to that of the whole population for 10 ‐ 20 mm nodules and slightly better for the 20 ‐ 30 mm nodules. Specificity was very similar for 20 ‐ 30 mm nodules and higher in nodules between 10 and 20 mm, especially for MRI. The results are reported in Table [NaN] .
Performance of arterial enhancement followed by washout for each examination for the diagnosis of HCC in patients who had surgical resection as method of reference
10 ‐ 20 mm n=25 20 ‐ 30 mm n=24MRI CT CEUS Se 61.1 [35.8; 82.7] 55.6 [30.8; 78.5] 22.2 [6.4; 47.6] Sp 85.7 [42.1; 99.6] 71.4 [29.0; 96.3] 85.7 [42.1; 99.6] PPV 91.7 [61.5; 99.8] 83.3 [51.6; 97.9] 80.0 [28.4; 99.5] NPV 53.9 [25.1; 80.8] 61.5 [31.6; 86.1] 70.0 [45.7; 88.1] Se 83.3 [58.6; 96.4] 72.2 [46.5; 90.3] 50.0 [26.0; 74.0] Sp 100.0 [54.1; 100.0] 83.3 [35.9; 99.6] 100.0 [54.1; 100.0] PPV 100.0 [78.2; 100.0] 92.9 [66.1; 99.8] 100.0 [66.4; 100.0] NPV 66.7 [29.9; 92.5] 50.0 [18.7; 81.3] 60.0 [32.3; 83.7]
In the sub ‐ group of patients previously treated for HCC, the performances of MRI and CT were not clearly different from those in the whole population. The sensitivity and the specificity were a little bit lower for MRI and CT ( about 5% and 10% respectively) and appeared to be increased for CEUS. But because of the low number of patients (especially for 10 ‐ 20 mm nodules) this was not statistically significant. These results are detailed in the Table [NaN] .
We evaluated the performance of a combination of two out of three of the techniques for nodules between 10 and 20 mm, following EASL and AASLD 2005 recommendations and those from EASL 2012 for non ‐ expert centres. Combination was positive when both techniques showed the hallmark pattern of HCC. For this statistical analysis, patients whom had two imaging tests as reference standard for the diagnosis of HCC were excluded, because in this situation, 100% specificity would be systematically reached. Results for the different combinations are reported in Table [NaN] .
performances of the combination of examinations for the diagnosis of HCC with the exclusion of patients who had two imaging tests as reference standard for the diagnosis of HCC. Combination was positive when both techniques showed the typical pattern of HCC
10 ‐ 20 mm n=270 20 ‐ 30 mm n=149MR+CT MRI+CEUS CT+CEUS P value MRI+CT vs MRI+CEUS P value MRI+CT vs CT+CEUS P value MRI+CEUS vs CT+CEUS ≥2 examinations Se 55.1 [47.7; 62.4] 28.9 [22.5; 35.9] 27.8 [21.5; 34.8] <.0001 <.0001 .8450 69.0 [61.8; 75.5] Sp 100.0 [97.7; 100.0] 99.4 [96.5; 100.0] 100.0 [97.7; 100.0] ND ND ND 99.4 [96.5; 100.0] PPV 100.0 [96.5; 100.0] 98.2 [90.3; 100.0] 100.0 [93.2; 100.0] 99.2 [95.8; 100.0] NPV 64.9 [58.4; 70.9] 53.7 [47.7; 59.5] 53.5 [47.5; 59.3] 72.6 [66.1; 78.5] LR+ 44.8 [6.3; 319.9] 106.9 [15.1; 756.1 LR ‐ 0.4 [0.4; 0.5] 0.7 [0.7; 0.8] 0.7 [0.7; 0.8] 0.3 [0.3; 0.4] Se 56.1 [47.9; 64.1] 39.4 [31.6; 47.5] 36.8 [29.2; 44.9] .0007 <.0001 .5572 72.9 [65.2; 79.7] Sp 100.0 [92.5; 100.0] 100.0 [92.5; 100.0] 100.0 [92.5; 100.0] ND ND ND 100.0 [92.5; 100.0] PPV 100.0 [95.9; 100.0] 100.0 [94.1; 100.0] 100.0 [93.7; 100.0] 100.0 [96.8; 100.0] NPV 59.1 [49.6; 68.2] 66.7 [58.2; 74.4] 67.6 [59.3; 75.1] 52.8 [41.9; 63.5] LR+ LR ‐ 0.4 [0.4; 0.5] 0.6 [0.5; 0.7] 0.6 [0.6; 0.7] 0.3 [0.2; 0.4]
- 4 ‐ , could not be calculated because Sp=100%.
- 5 ND, not done because Cochran's Q test was not significant.
- 6 Performances when two (whatever of the technique) or the three examinations were positive.
Whatever the size of the nodule and the different imaging combinations, sensitivity was weak (between 27.8% and 56.1%). The best sensitivity was obtained by combining MRI and CT. On the other hand, the different combinations had extremely high specificities (99.4% to 100%).
We also evaluated the benefit of sequential strategies taking into account the first performed examination. Table [NaN] shows the performance of a sequential combination of two of the three imaging techniques (CEUS+CT; CEUS+MRI; CT+MRI). Sequential combination was positive when either one or the other technique showed the typical pattern of HCC. In this situation, the sensitivity was increased but with a slight decrease in specificity.
Performances of the different sequential combinations of examinations. Combination was positive when either one or the other technique showed the typical pattern of HCC
10 ‐ 20 mm (n=342) 20 ‐ 30 mm (n=202) MRI then CT MRI then CEUS CT then CEUS MRI then CT MRI then CEUS CT then CEUS Sensitivity (%) 83.4 [77.3; 88.5] 81.3 [74.9; 86.6] 79.7 [73.2; 85.2] 87.7 [81.5; 92.5] 85.8 [79.3; 90.9] 87.7 [81.5; 92.5] Specificity (%) 60.0 [51.8; 67.8] 76.8 [69.3; 83.2] 69.7 [61.8; 76.8] 83.0 [69.2; 92.4] 80.9 [66.7; 90.9] 85.1 [71.7; 93.8] PPV 71.6 [65.1; 77.5] 80.9 [74.5; 86.2] 76.0 [69.4; 81.8] 94.4 [89.4; 97.6] 93.7 [88.3; 97.1] 95.1 [90.2; 98.0] PNV 75.0 [66.4; 82.3] 77.3 [69.8; 83.6] 74.0 [66.1; 80.9] 67.2 [53.7; 79.0] 63.3 [49.9; 75.4] 67.8 [54.4; 79.4]
Table [NaN] shows the performance of the second imaging technique calculated on the population that did not display typical features of HCC at the first examination. In 10 ‐ 20 mm nodules, CEUS used as the second examination had the highest specificity with only a slight drop of sensitivity. In the 20 ‐ 30 mm nodules, CEUS in second line lead to the highest sensitivity and specificity whatever the first inconclusive imaging technique (CT or MRI).
Performances of the second examination for the nodules not diagnosed as HCC by a first one regarding the first and the second examination performed
Examination in 2nd intention 10 ‐ 20 mm P value Exam A vs Exam B 20 ‐ 30 mm P value Exam A vs Exam B MRI (%) MDCT (%) CEUS (%) MRI (%) MDCT (%) CEUS (%) CEUS Negative Sensitivity (%) 68.2 67.1 1.0000 69.5 76.3 .4807 Specificity (%) 80.0 73.9 .5847 93.6 90.3 1.0000 TP/FP/TN/FN 60/13/52/28 59/17/48/29 41/2/29/18 45/3/18/14 CTscan Negative Sensitivity (%) 47.2 37.7 .3833 48.7 62.2 .3018 Specificity (%) 79.2 89.6 .1338 87.5 90.0 1.0000 TP/FP/TN/FN 25/16/61/28 20/8/69/33 18/5/35/19 23/4/36/14 MRI Negative Sensitivity (%) 44.2 34.6 .3593 54.1 54.1 1.0000 Specificity (%) 74.5 90.2 .0113 92.5 90.0 1.0000 TP/FP/TN/FN 23/26/76/29 18/10/92/34 20/3/37/17 20/4/36/17
Non ‐ invasive strategy for HCC diagnosis, as recommended by EASL and AASLD guidelines, is widely used in clinical practice but has rarely been evaluated.[
Our study is the only large, multicentre, prospective one to have evaluated firstly, the diagnostic performance of each imaging technique that could be used for non ‐ invasive diagnosis of HCC, and secondly, the different algorithms proposed by the EASL and AASLD guidelines in 2005[
The specificity for both CT and MRI found in our study was lower than expected and differed according to size stratification. Although it was good for 20 ‐ 30 mm nodules (>89%), it fell for the smaller nodules (10 ‐ 20 mm) to 77% and 83% for CT and MRI respectively. Recent studies have already reported low specificities for MRI. Sersté et al.[
Another point that could be highlighted is the almost similar performances of EASL ‐ AASLD criteria for nodules in already treated patients in comparison to whole population, which reinforces the usefulness of these criteria in all clinical situations. Nevertheless, we had less than 60 patients in this category and our results should be further confirmed.
Finally for the 42 nodules, which were resected, the results were close to that observed in the whole population. This confirms that the composite gold standard was appropriate in this study and that diagnostic performance was not altered in surgically confirmed patients. Therefore, we should notice that including only nodules submitted to resection would probably increase the number of true ‐ positive cases because in the vast majority of the cases only nodules with a high likelihood of HCC are resected.
In the current guidelines, regarding the similar sensitivities of CT and MRI for nodules between 10 and 30 mm, the highest specificity of MRI indicates the use of this technique as first line modality.
We also looked at the diagnostic performance of CEUS. Our results show low sensitivity for any lesion size. Inclusion of nodules seen firstly by CT or MRI and that were potentially non ‐ visible at ultrasound is not enough to explain this, since taking into account only nodules seen on ultrasound increased only moderately (10%) the sensitivity of CEUS. On the contrary, the specificity of CEUS was quite high (92.9%), and significantly higher than CT and MRI for the 10 ‐ 20 mm nodules. The role of CEUS has been largely debated since it was removed from the AASLD and EASL/EORTC guidelines. The main reason for its removal is the report of similar features for HCC and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma using CEUS.[
Another way to increase specificity for the diagnosis of HCC (especially in nodules between 10 and 20 mm) is to combine two imaging modalities. Our results confirm previous data reported in the literature, with specificity between 99.4% and 100% for any combination. Yet, as already reported, the sensitivity of combined imaging drops to unacceptable values. This explains the sequential strategy used in the EASL/EORTC and AASLD guidelines allowing HCC diagnosis in cirrhosis based on a single technique (CT or MRI).
To choose the best sequential approach, we evaluated the performance of the different imaging techniques in second line when a first one did not show the typical features of HCC. To the best of our knowledge only Khalili and al. have performed such analysis.[
Based on the results of this study, we might propose the following sequential approach: MRI should be proposed as first line examination whatever the size stratification (10 ‐ 20 mm or 20 ‐ 30 mm). If MRI is inconclusive for the diagnosis of HCC, we propose CEUS, because its specificity is excellent and the cost of slight drop of sensitivity limited to 10 ‐ 20 mm nodules.
Our study suffers from some limitations. Firstly, like other studies we used a composite reference method for the diagnosis of HCC including imaging. Yet, in more than half of the cases, the diagnosis was obtained by histology. Considering only an absolute reference (as surgical resection) would have introduced more bias. Gold standard classically used is histology and follow ‐ up, but this gold standard also has limitations, in particular, with negative biopsy that can be because of sampling error or mistargeting. Furthermore, follow ‐ up is not always solving problem because histology of the nodule at the time of the imaging could never been affirmed. Instead, the composite reference method we built was a step ‐ by ‐ step process taking into account only an absolute specificity of diagnostic tests. The similar diagnostic performance of imaging using surgical resection as reference compared to the whole population confirmed the appropriateness of our composite reference method. Secondly, the lack of centralized reading might have led to misreading of washout. But on the other hand our results of this large multicentre study are close to those of daily clinical practice at expert centres.
Finally, this study included proportion of patients under surveillance using CT and MRI, while the AASLD and EASL criteria deal specifically with nodules found using US surveillance. But in daily practice, ultrasound may be limited in some patients and CT or MRI may find new nodules especially when they are performed in the follow ‐ up of treated HCC. Therefore, this study is not an exact assessment of the AASLD and EASL guidelines, but the extension of these criteria to the daily practice.
This large multicentre study confirms in daily practice the high specificity of any of the three imaging techniques for HCC between 20 and 30 mm, and therefore we validate the EASL ‐ AASLD recommendations for these lesions. We found a drop in specificity using CT or MRI in 10 ‐ 20 mm HCC but we do not recommend systematic combined imaging at first as sensitivity would be very low. The best sequential approach combined MRI and CEUS.
We sincerely acknowledge all of the technicians of clinical research and especially Marie Bost and the project manager of the CHIC study Pascaline Aucouturier.
No conflict of interest.
Jean Pierre Tasu: Département de radiologie, CHU Poitiers, 86000 Poitiers, France
Christine Sylvain: Service d'Hépato ‐ Gastroentérologie, CHU Poitiers, 86000 Poitiers, France
Alain Luciani: Imagerie Medicale, AP ‐ HP, Groupe Henri Mondor Albert Chenevier, Creteil, F ‐ 94010, France
Christophe Duvoux: Service d'Hépatogie, Hôpital Henri Mondor APHP, Université Paris Est Créteil ‐ France
Frank Pilleul: Centre LCC ‐ Léon Bérard, 28 rue Laennec, 69008 Lyon, France
Jérôme Dumortier, Fédération des Spécialités Digestives, Hôpital Edouard Herriot, Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1, Lyon, France
Guillaume Baudin: Service de radiologie et imagerie médicale, Hôpital Archet, CHU Nice, 06200 Nice Nice, France
Rodolphe Anty: Service d'Hépato ‐ gastroentérologie, Hôpital Archet, CHU Nice, 06200 Nice Nice, France
Patrick Chevallier: Service de radiologie et imagerie médicale, Hôpital Archet, CHU Nice, 06200 Nice Nice, France
Vincent Le Pennec: Service de Radiologie diagnostique et thérapeutique, CHU Côte de Nacre, 14033 Caen, France
Isabelle Ollivier Hourmand: Service d'Hépato ‐ gastro ‐ entérologie, CHU Côte de Nacre, 14033 Caen, France
Louis Estivalet: Radiologie et Imagerie médicale diagnostique et thérapeutique, CHU Dijon, 21079 Dijon, France
Anne Minello: Département d'hépatologie et gastroentérologie, CHU Dijon, Université Burgundy, INSERM U866, 21079 Dijon, France
Eric Frampas: Service Central de Radiologie et Imagerie Médicale, Hôtel Dieu, CHU Nantes, 44093 Nantes, France
Isabelle Archambeaud: Service d'hépato gastroentérologie, Hôtel Dieu, CHU Nantes, 44093 Nantes, France
Anne Guillygomarc'h: service des maladies du foie, CHU Pontchaillou, Rennes, France
Vanessa Brun: Imagerie médicale, CHU Pontchaillou, 35033 Rennes, France
Yves Gandon: Imagerie Médicale, CHU Pontchaillou, 35033 RENNES, France
Muriel Cuilleron, Service de radiologie, Hopital Nord, CHU, 42055 Saint ‐ Etienne, France
Brigitte Patouillard: Service d'hépato gastroentérologie, Hopital Nord, CHU, 42055 Saint ‐ Etienne, France
Boris Guiu: Département de Radiologie, INSERM U896, CHU Saint ‐ Eloi, Université de Montpellier, 34295 Montpellier, France
Benoit Gallix: 1) Département d'Imagerie Medicale, CHU Montpellier, CHU Saint ‐ Eloi, Université de Montpellier, 34295 Montpellier, France. 2) McGill University Health Center, Montreal, QC, Canada
Jérôme Lebigot: Département de radiologie, CHU d'Angers, 49933 Angers, France
.
Graph: Flow chart and gold standard (following the STARD statement)
Graph: Step by step algorithm of the reference methods
Graph
By Christophe Aubé; Frédéric Oberti; Julie Lonjon; Georges Pageaux; Olivier Seror; Giséle N'Kontchou; Agnes Rode; Sylvie Radenne; Christophe Cassinotto; Julien Vergniol; Ivan Bricault; Vincent Leroy; Maxime Ronot; Laurent Castera; Sophie Michalak; Maxime Esvan; Valérie Vilgrain; Jean Pierre Tasu, Investigator; Christine Sylvain, Investigator; Alain Luciani, Investigator; Christophe Duvoux, Investigator; Frank Pilleul, Investigator; Jérôme Dumortier, Investigator; Guillaume Baudin, Investigator; Rodolphe Anty, Investigator; Patrick Chevallier, Investigator; Vincent Pennec, Investigator; Isabelle Ollivier Hourmand, Investigator; Louis Estivalet, Investigator; Anne Minello, Investigator; Eric Frampas, Investigator; Isabelle Archambeaud, Investigator; Anne Guillygomarc’h, Investigator; Vanessa Brun, Investigator; Yves Gandon, Investigator; Muriel Cuilleron, Investigator; Brigitte Patouillard, Investigator; Boris Guiu, Investigator; Benoit Gallix, Investigator and Jérôme Lebigot, Investigator