Factores Económicos que Explican la Bancarrota de Empresas. (Spanish)

The objective is to determine if there is a correlation between manifest variables such as Gross Domestic Product, Exchange rate, economic growth, crimes committed, Oil mix price, consumer confidence and job unemployment and their grouping into external and internal economic factors, to determine bankruptcy. Using Confirmatory Factor Analysis (CFA), as a validation tool. The method consists of defining the variables and relating them to the indices published by organizations such as INEGI, BANXICO or the World Bank; To later perform the AFC. From the AFC, the correlation of manifest variables in two factors, the external and internal economic one, is obtained as a result. The finding was that the correlation between the manifest variables and the internal and external economic factors was achieved. Originality is the use of external indices, without the need to resort to traditional methods of surveys or questionnaires. The limitation is that not all indices provide sufficient data. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

El objetivo es determinar si existe una correlación entre variables manifiestas como Producto Interno Bruto, Tipo de cambio, crecimiento económico, delitos cometidos, Precio de mezcla del petróleo, confianza del consumidor y desocupación laboral y su agrupación en factores económicos externos e internos, para determinar la bancarrota. Usando Análisis Factorial Confirmatorio (AFC), como herramienta de validación. El método consiste en, definir las variables y relacionarlas con los índices publicados por organizaciones como INEGI, BANXICO o Banco Mundial; Para posteriormente realizar el AFC. Del AFC se obtiene como resultado la correlación de variables manifiestas en dos factores, el económico externo e interno. El hallazgo fue que se logró la correlación entre las variables manifiestas y los factores económicos internos y externos. La originalidad es el uso de índices externos, sin necesidad de recurrir a métodos tradicionales de encuestas o cuestionarios. La limitante radica en que no todos los índices aportan datos suficientes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

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