REINFORCED URN PROCESSES FOR MODELING CREDIT DEFAULT DISTRIBUTIONS
In: International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance, 2004-06-01, S. 407-423
Online
unknown
Zugriff:
Based on a Reinforced Urn Process introduced by Muliere et al. [11], we propose a stochastic model for the probability of credit default for debt issuers belonging to the same Moody's rated class. The model predicts how a default probability belonging to a given term structure evolves in time as information about credit defaults of debt issuers with the same Moody's rating becomes available. Connections between implied credit default probabilities and credit spreads will be exploited.
Titel: |
REINFORCED URN PROCESSES FOR MODELING CREDIT DEFAULT DISTRIBUTIONS
|
---|---|
Autor/in / Beteiligte Person: | Secchi, Piercesare ; Amerio, Emanuele ; Muliere, Pietro |
Link: | |
Zeitschrift: | International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance, 2004-06-01, S. 407-423 |
Veröffentlichung: | World Scientific Pub Co Pte Lt, 2004 |
Medientyp: | unknown |
ISSN: | 1793-6322 (print) ; 0219-0249 (print) |
DOI: | 10.1142/s0219024904002505 |
Schlagwort: |
|
Sonstiges: |
|